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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.63+1.69vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.90+2.02vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.57+1.72vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.00-0.14vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29+3.90vs Predicted
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6Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.32+3.09vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.64-2.52vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.61-0.51vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University-0.90-0.75vs Predicted
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10Bates College-1.38-0.76vs Predicted
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11Yale University-0.26-4.54vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-1.59-2.15vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.85-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69Roger Williams University1.630.3%1st Place
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4.02University of Rhode Island0.900.1%1st Place
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4.72Northeastern University0.570.1%1st Place
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3.86Tufts University1.000.2%1st Place
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8.9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
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9.09Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.320.0%1st Place
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4.48Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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7.49SUNY Stony Brook-0.610.0%1st Place
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8.25Salve Regina University-0.900.0%1st Place
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9.24Bates College-1.380.0%1st Place
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6.46Yale University-0.260.0%1st Place
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9.85University of New Hampshire-1.590.0%1st Place
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11.96University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bailey | 31.5% | 22.8% | 17.5% | 14.1% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Purcell | 14.3% | 16.8% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 9.3% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 16.2% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Norman Walker | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 17.0% | 14.0% | 5.5% |
| Dominic Ioime | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 16.3% | 16.1% | 5.4% |
| Keller Morrison | 13.2% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mallory Reading | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| Garrett Moen | 2.5% | 1.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 3.4% |
| Gray Dinsel | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 15.1% | 16.0% | 16.3% | 8.5% |
| Lucas Zheng | 4.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Clayton Greig | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 16.4% | 22.2% | 12.5% |
| Ilya McCune-Pedit | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 14.3% | 63.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.