Race 10B

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Cole Abbott 7.6% 8.3% 9.8% 8.7% 9.4% 9.8% 9.8% 9.6% 10.8% 8.8% 4.5% 2.3% 0.5%
Brittany Shabino 12.4% 12.6% 11.3% 10.2% 10.5% 10.3% 10.2% 8.2% 6.6% 4.6% 2.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Fergus Munro 11.2% 10.6% 10.7% 11.5% 10.5% 9.5% 9.8% 9.0% 7.8% 6.0% 2.3% 0.9% 0.1%
Seamus Hendrickson 19.7% 17.3% 14.5% 13.5% 9.5% 8.5% 6.3% 5.5% 3.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Marissa Tegeder 11.6% 13.0% 12.0% 11.8% 10.7% 11.4% 9.2% 8.5% 5.1% 3.8% 1.8% 1.1% 0.2%
Kate Hennig 8.2% 9.6% 10.6% 10.8% 10.5% 10.0% 10.7% 9.1% 9.6% 5.9% 3.8% 1.2% 0.2%
Andrew Down 4.2% 4.0% 5.7% 6.5% 6.8% 8.5% 9.1% 8.3% 11.3% 14.2% 12.3% 7.4% 1.7%
Nok In Chan 10.2% 10.8% 9.2% 9.2% 10.2% 9.6% 9.1% 10.2% 8.7% 6.6% 4.2% 1.6% 0.4%
Gabriel "Gabe" Morreale 7.5% 6.9% 7.7% 8.3% 9.5% 10.4% 9.5% 10.8% 10.7% 9.8% 6.2% 2.2% 0.4%
Jacob Hsia 4.0% 3.5% 4.2% 5.1% 6.6% 5.7% 7.3% 8.8% 10.3% 15.7% 14.4% 10.5% 3.8%
Brady Boland 0.8% 0.9% 1.1% 1.3% 1.5% 1.8% 3.0% 3.6% 4.0% 7.0% 13.9% 24.9% 36.1%
Connor Bricco 1.9% 1.7% 2.4% 2.0% 2.4% 2.8% 3.6% 5.1% 7.2% 10.8% 20.9% 22.5% 16.8%
Leo Barch 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 1.2% 1.8% 1.8% 2.5% 3.1% 4.7% 5.8% 13.1% 24.1% 39.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.