Race 11A

admiral-alymer

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Christopher Price 9.2% 9.2% 8.8% 10.3% 9.9% 10.4% 9.8% 11.8% 9.5% 9.2% 1.9% 0.0%
Stephanie Hudson 15.2% 16.5% 13.0% 13.0% 10.7% 9.5% 9.0% 5.0% 5.1% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Drew Shea 11.3% 8.9% 9.8% 10.2% 10.2% 10.4% 11.2% 11.8% 8.6% 6.5% 1.1% 0.0%
Matthew Schon 11.8% 13.4% 13.0% 13.2% 10.7% 9.8% 8.8% 8.1% 6.6% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1%
James Altreuter 7.6% 7.9% 8.0% 8.5% 9.9% 10.5% 9.5% 11.7% 10.2% 13.2% 2.8% 0.2%
Michael Sturges 7.2% 7.5% 8.1% 5.8% 8.6% 9.9% 11.7% 10.4% 12.9% 14.9% 2.8% 0.2%
Sarah Fiske 6.0% 6.7% 5.6% 7.7% 7.1% 7.2% 9.3% 10.5% 15.6% 18.4% 5.2% 0.7%
Lyle Fielding 8.3% 6.8% 7.1% 8.6% 9.6% 8.6% 8.8% 11.5% 12.7% 13.5% 4.4% 0.1%
Ian Towill 9.7% 9.8% 12.7% 10.0% 11.6% 10.8% 10.2% 10.5% 7.5% 6.3% 0.9% 0.0%
Emily Billing 12.7% 12.8% 12.8% 11.7% 10.6% 11.6% 10.0% 6.6% 6.7% 4.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Paul Hildebrand 0.7% 0.3% 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 1.1% 2.6% 3.9% 47.2% 40.8%
Tim Dexter 0.3% 0.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.9% 1.0% 2.0% 3.7% 32.2% 57.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.