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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.90+3.02vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.63+0.68vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.64+1.59vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.57+0.74vs Predicted
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5Yale University-0.26+1.54vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.00-2.22vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.61+0.37vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29+1.00vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University-0.90-0.78vs Predicted
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10Bates College-1.38-0.76vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-1.59-1.40vs Predicted
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12Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.32-2.75vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.85-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.02University of Rhode Island0.900.2%1st Place
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2.68Roger Williams University1.630.3%1st Place
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4.59Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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4.74Northeastern University0.570.1%1st Place
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6.54Yale University-0.260.1%1st Place
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3.78Tufts University1.000.2%1st Place
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7.37SUNY Stony Brook-0.610.0%1st Place
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9.0Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
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8.22Salve Regina University-0.900.0%1st Place
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9.24Bates College-1.380.0%1st Place
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9.6University of New Hampshire-1.590.0%1st Place
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9.25Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.320.0%1st Place
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11.96University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Purcell | 15.1% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 31.8% | 23.7% | 18.0% | 11.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keller Morrison | 10.0% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ben Palmer | 9.5% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Zheng | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Meredith Broadus | 16.4% | 18.3% | 16.6% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mallory Reading | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Norman Walker | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 15.1% | 16.7% | 5.1% |
| Garrett Moen | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 8.1% | 3.5% |
| Gray Dinsel | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 15.9% | 16.6% | 8.6% |
| Clayton Greig | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 17.6% | 18.3% | 10.5% |
| Dominic Ioime | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 17.9% | 7.4% |
| Ilya McCune-Pedit | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 15.0% | 63.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.