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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.63+1.68vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.57+2.72vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.00+0.85vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.900.00vs Predicted
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5Yale University-0.26+1.54vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29+3.06vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-0.90+1.07vs Predicted
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8Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.32+1.08vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.61-1.43vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-1.59-0.29vs Predicted
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11Bates College-1.38-1.85vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.85-0.09vs Predicted
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13Brown University0.64-8.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68Roger Williams University1.630.3%1st Place
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4.72Northeastern University0.570.1%1st Place
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3.85Tufts University1.000.2%1st Place
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4.0University of Rhode Island0.900.2%1st Place
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6.54Yale University-0.260.1%1st Place
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9.06Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
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8.07Salve Regina University-0.900.0%1st Place
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9.08Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.320.0%1st Place
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7.57SUNY Stony Brook-0.610.0%1st Place
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9.71University of New Hampshire-1.590.0%1st Place
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9.15Bates College-1.380.0%1st Place
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11.91University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.850.0%1st Place
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4.66Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bailey | 31.6% | 23.7% | 17.7% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 9.6% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 16.7% | 17.3% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Purcell | 15.4% | 13.7% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Zheng | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Norman Walker | 1.4% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 16.6% | 15.8% | 5.6% |
| Garrett Moen | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 2.8% |
| Dominic Ioime | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 6.9% |
| Mallory Reading | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 1.4% |
| Clayton Greig | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 17.0% | 21.7% | 12.0% |
| Gray Dinsel | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 7.5% |
| Ilya McCune-Pedit | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 13.7% | 63.5% |
| Keller Morrison | 9.5% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.