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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.63+1.72vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.57+2.65vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.00+0.79vs Predicted
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4Yale University-0.26+2.64vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University-0.90+3.02vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.90-2.05vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.85+0.88vs Predicted
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8Brown University0.64-3.56vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29+0.05vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.32-0.98vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-1.59-1.46vs Predicted
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12Bates College-1.38-2.63vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.85-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.72Roger Williams University1.630.3%1st Place
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4.65Northeastern University0.570.1%1st Place
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3.79Tufts University1.000.2%1st Place
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6.64Yale University-0.260.0%1st Place
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8.02Salve Regina University-0.900.0%1st Place
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3.95University of Rhode Island0.900.2%1st Place
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7.88SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.0%1st Place
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4.44Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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9.05Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
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9.02Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.320.0%1st Place
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9.54University of New Hampshire-1.590.0%1st Place
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9.37Bates College-1.380.0%1st Place
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11.95University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bailey | 30.6% | 24.3% | 16.7% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 10.5% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 15.5% | 18.6% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Zheng | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Garrett Moen | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 2.8% |
| Anthony Purcell | 15.4% | 14.8% | 18.1% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 3.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 7.0% | 1.7% |
| Keller Morrison | 12.5% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Norman Walker | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 16.5% | 6.3% |
| Dominic Ioime | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 7.1% |
| Clayton Greig | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 18.4% | 10.3% |
| Gray Dinsel | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 16.8% | 18.4% | 7.8% |
| Ilya McCune-Pedit | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 13.6% | 63.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.