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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.00+2.82vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.90+2.02vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.63-0.27vs Predicted
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4Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.32+5.15vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.64-0.49vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.57-1.31vs Predicted
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7Yale University-0.26-0.46vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29+1.00vs Predicted
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9Bates College-1.38+0.30vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-0.61-2.53vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University-0.90-2.99vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.85-0.11vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-1.59-3.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82Tufts University1.000.2%1st Place
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4.02University of Rhode Island0.900.1%1st Place
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2.73Roger Williams University1.630.3%1st Place
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9.15Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.320.0%1st Place
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4.51Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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4.69Northeastern University0.570.1%1st Place
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6.54Yale University-0.260.1%1st Place
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9.0Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
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9.3Bates College-1.380.0%1st Place
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7.47SUNY Stony Brook-0.610.0%1st Place
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8.01Salve Regina University-0.900.0%1st Place
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11.89University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.850.0%1st Place
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9.85University of New Hampshire-1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Broadus | 16.0% | 17.1% | 16.6% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 10.9% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Purcell | 14.9% | 15.9% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 30.3% | 22.6% | 17.6% | 14.1% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dominic Ioime | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 16.5% | 6.9% |
| Keller Morrison | 11.1% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 10.6% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Zheng | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Norman Walker | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 17.3% | 14.7% | 5.3% |
| Gray Dinsel | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 17.9% | 17.1% | 8.0% |
| Mallory Reading | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 1.7% |
| Garrett Moen | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 2.7% |
| Ilya McCune-Pedit | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 13.9% | 62.3% |
| Clayton Greig | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 16.6% | 21.9% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.