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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.00+0.54vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.42-0.05vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-0.37+0.56vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont-1.66+0.96vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-1.03-0.63vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.54Northeastern University2.000.6%1st Place
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1.95University of Rhode Island1.420.3%1st Place
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3.56Middlebury College-0.370.1%1st Place
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4.96University of Vermont-1.660.0%1st Place
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4.37University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
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4.61Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Winkelman | 56.7% | 33.9% | 7.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Miller | 33.4% | 43.6% | 18.1% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Rochat | 5.9% | 10.3% | 33.5% | 27.5% | 17.5% | 5.3% |
| Sawyer Bouley | 0.9% | 3.0% | 9.8% | 16.7% | 24.7% | 44.9% |
| Will Rudaz | 1.5% | 5.9% | 16.7% | 27.2% | 27.2% | 21.5% |
| Norman Walker | 1.6% | 3.3% | 14.1% | 23.0% | 29.7% | 28.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.