← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island1.42+0.98vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University2.00-0.49vs Predicted
-
3Middlebury College-0.37+0.54vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29+0.60vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont-1.66+0.04vs Predicted
-
6University of New Hampshire-1.03-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.98University of Rhode Island1.420.3%1st Place
-
1.51Northeastern University2.000.6%1st Place
-
3.54Middlebury College-0.370.1%1st Place
-
4.6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
-
5.04University of Vermont-1.660.0%1st Place
-
4.33University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Miller | 30.6% | 47.1% | 17.4% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 58.8% | 32.2% | 7.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Rochat | 6.0% | 9.6% | 34.0% | 29.4% | 16.5% | 4.5% |
| Norman Walker | 1.5% | 4.0% | 14.3% | 21.3% | 31.3% | 27.6% |
| Sawyer Bouley | 0.7% | 2.6% | 9.4% | 14.9% | 24.4% | 48.0% |
| Will Rudaz | 2.4% | 4.5% | 17.1% | 29.6% | 26.6% | 19.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.