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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.15+5.82vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.60+6.70vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.73+5.21vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.03+8.32vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.18+1.06vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.58+3.78vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.73-0.30vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.38+1.26vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+2.35vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+0.03vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.82-0.42vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.22-2.16vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.49-3.21vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.28-4.09vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.42-6.19vs Predicted
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16University of Miami2.32-4.25vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-5.73vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.78-8.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.82Stanford University3.1510.2%1st Place
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8.7U. S. Naval Academy2.606.3%1st Place
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8.21Brown University2.737.0%1st Place
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12.32Bowdoin College2.033.0%1st Place
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6.06Harvard University3.1811.5%1st Place
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9.78Boston College2.585.1%1st Place
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6.7Yale University2.7310.8%1st Place
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9.26Dartmouth College2.385.4%1st Place
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11.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.313.3%1st Place
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10.03St. Mary's College of Maryland2.574.2%1st Place
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10.58George Washington University1.823.9%1st Place
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9.84Tufts University2.224.5%1st Place
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9.79College of Charleston2.495.1%1st Place
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9.91Tulane University2.284.0%1st Place
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8.81Georgetown University2.425.1%1st Place
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11.75University of Miami2.323.2%1st Place
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11.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.772.8%1st Place
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9.82University of Rhode Island2.784.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Nathan Smith | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Guthrie Braun | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 18.4% |
| Justin Callahan | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Peter Busch | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% |
| Jack Egan | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| William Michels | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 11.5% |
| Owen Hennessey | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% |
| Noah Zittrer | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% |
| Kelly Holthus | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.3% |
| Enzo Menditto | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% |
| Atlee Kohl | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 13.2% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 11.6% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.