Race 12A

admiral-alymer

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Michael Sturges 6.7% 7.4% 6.2% 9.0% 7.2% 9.4% 10.2% 12.3% 14.8% 13.2% 3.4% 0.2%
Christopher Price 9.1% 9.1% 9.8% 10.1% 10.8% 10.1% 11.4% 11.0% 9.2% 8.0% 1.4% 0.0%
Matthew Schon 14.1% 11.4% 13.1% 10.9% 10.1% 10.4% 10.8% 8.6% 6.0% 4.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Stephanie Hudson 14.9% 16.3% 14.4% 11.8% 12.4% 9.1% 8.5% 4.6% 4.7% 2.6% 0.7% 0.0%
Drew Shea 10.1% 10.4% 8.9% 11.5% 11.0% 10.9% 8.7% 9.7% 9.5% 7.8% 1.4% 0.1%
Sarah Fiske 5.2% 5.7% 6.3% 6.9% 6.0% 8.6% 10.0% 10.6% 14.5% 20.4% 5.5% 0.3%
Emily Billing 12.9% 14.0% 12.2% 10.9% 12.4% 10.4% 9.4% 7.7% 5.8% 3.8% 0.5% 0.0%
James Altreuter 8.8% 8.5% 8.3% 8.8% 8.6% 9.5% 8.4% 10.9% 12.8% 12.4% 3.0% 0.0%
Ian Towill 9.6% 9.8% 12.5% 11.7% 10.7% 11.3% 10.1% 9.1% 7.7% 6.5% 1.0% 0.0%
Lyle Fielding 7.5% 6.7% 7.3% 7.7% 9.2% 9.2% 10.7% 13.1% 11.3% 13.4% 3.6% 0.3%
Paul Hildebrand 0.8% 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 1.3% 2.3% 4.6% 46.5% 40.9%
Tim Dexter 0.3% 0.3% 0.6% 0.0% 1.1% 0.2% 1.1% 1.1% 1.4% 3.1% 32.6% 58.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.