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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+5.88vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+3.10vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.04+3.51vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.28+5.21vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.70-0.38vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.06+0.52vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.00+3.13vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.52+0.44vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.93-2.12vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston1.40-1.02vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.24-1.59vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.73-4.11vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.76-1.83vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.16-4.38vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.44-6.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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5.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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6.51Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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9.21Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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4.62Bowdoin College2.700.2%1st Place
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6.52University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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10.13Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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8.44Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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6.88Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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8.98College of Charleston1.400.0%1st Place
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9.41University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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7.89Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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11.17University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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9.62Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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8.65Fordham University1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Brock | 8.8% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 13.2% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 8.4% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 17.5% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 14.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.8% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.9% |
| J.J. Smith | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 11.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 2.7% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 14.7% | 26.4% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 11.9% |
| Payton Canavan | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.