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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+4.22vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+4.77vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.04+3.53vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.73+3.62vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.24+4.41vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.06+0.49vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.28+2.18vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.93-1.01vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.00+1.17vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston1.40-1.02vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.52-2.55vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.70-7.32vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.16-3.06vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.44-5.33vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.76-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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6.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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6.53Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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7.62Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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9.41University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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6.49University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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9.18Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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6.99Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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10.17Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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8.98College of Charleston1.400.0%1st Place
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8.45Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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4.68Bowdoin College2.700.2%1st Place
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9.94Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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8.67Fordham University1.440.0%1st Place
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10.88University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Bornarth | 13.5% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Libby Redmond | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 10.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.2% |
| J.J. Smith | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 14.7% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 15.7% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 13.9% |
| Payton Canavan | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 16.6% | 23.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.