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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.24+8.23vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.52+6.20vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.70+1.36vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+1.23vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.06+1.61vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.16+3.72vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.76+3.92vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.40+0.86vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.44-0.34vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.73-2.25vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.04-4.29vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-4.81vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.93-5.78vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.28-4.78vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.00-4.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.23University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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8.2Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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4.36Bowdoin College2.700.2%1st Place
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5.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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6.61University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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9.72Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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10.92University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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8.86College of Charleston1.400.0%1st Place
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8.66Fordham University1.440.0%1st Place
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7.75Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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6.71Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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7.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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7.22Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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9.22Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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10.12Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Shakespeare | 5.4% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 11.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 17.7% | 16.3% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 13.3% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Sofia Segalla | 9.1% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 12.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 24.3% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 6.8% |
| Payton Canavan | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 5.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% |
| Libby Redmond | 7.3% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| J.J. Smith | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% |
| Meredith Broadus | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 16.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.