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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+4.18vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+4.78vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.93+3.87vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.73+3.63vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.40+3.88vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.52+2.41vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.00+3.09vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.06-1.48vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.16+0.65vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.24-0.49vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.04-4.32vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.70-7.31vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.76-1.79vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.44-5.33vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.28-5.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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6.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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6.87Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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7.63Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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8.88College of Charleston1.400.0%1st Place
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8.41Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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10.09Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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6.52University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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9.65Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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9.51University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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6.68Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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4.69Bowdoin College2.700.2%1st Place
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11.21University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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8.67Fordham University1.440.0%1st Place
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9.22Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Bornarth | 13.3% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.9% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| J.J. Smith | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 6.9% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% |
| Meredith Broadus | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 14.6% |
| Sofia Segalla | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.7% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 10.4% |
| Libby Redmond | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 15.6% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 27.6% |
| Payton Canavan | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.