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📊 Prediction Accuracy
0.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.70+3.49vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.44+6.50vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.93+3.84vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+2.93vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.52+3.46vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.28+3.33vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.76+3.84vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.00+2.24vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-3.87vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.04-3.30vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.73-3.26vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.24-2.37vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston1.40-3.90vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.16-4.35vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.06-8.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.49Bowdoin College2.700.2%1st Place
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8.5Fordham University1.440.0%1st Place
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6.84Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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6.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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8.46Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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9.33Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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10.84University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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10.24Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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5.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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6.7Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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7.74Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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9.63University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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9.1College of Charleston1.400.0%1st Place
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9.65Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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6.42University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 17.9% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Payton Canavan | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% |
| J.J. Smith | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.7% |
| Audrey Commerford | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 22.4% |
| Meredith Broadus | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 16.3% |
| Emily Bornarth | 12.7% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.9% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 12.8% |
| Sofia Segalla | 9.0% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.