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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+4.20vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+4.73vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.24+6.31vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.70+0.52vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.28+4.29vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.04+0.57vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.40+1.79vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.73-0.33vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.16+0.66vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.93-2.95vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.52-2.57vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.44-3.00vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.06-6.25vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.76-3.11vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.00-4.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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6.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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9.31University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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4.52Bowdoin College2.700.2%1st Place
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9.29Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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6.57Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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8.79College of Charleston1.400.1%1st Place
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7.67Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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9.66Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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7.05Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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8.43Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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9.0Fordham University1.440.0%1st Place
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6.75University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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10.89University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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10.14Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Bornarth | 12.5% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 17.9% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% |
| Libby Redmond | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 10.0% |
| J.J. Smith | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% |
| Payton Canavan | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% |
| Sofia Segalla | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 14.6% | 23.3% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.