Race 10A

emily-wick

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Emily Bornarth 14.2% 15.5% 13.4% 10.9% 9.0% 8.9% 7.1% 5.3% 5.4% 4.2% 2.5% 2.3% 0.8% 0.5%
J.J. Smith 9.8% 9.2% 8.2% 9.0% 9.9% 7.2% 10.6% 8.3% 6.7% 7.4% 5.5% 4.2% 2.3% 1.7%
Sofia Segalla 9.9% 10.7% 9.7% 9.1% 8.8% 9.1% 7.5% 9.1% 7.2% 5.9% 5.3% 4.4% 2.2% 1.1%
Charlotte Costikyan 5.5% 7.8% 7.0% 8.1% 7.5% 7.9% 9.8% 8.3% 8.1% 7.8% 7.5% 6.3% 4.9% 3.5%
Lucy Brock 6.8% 8.1% 8.2% 10.3% 9.6% 9.1% 7.6% 7.0% 9.3% 7.1% 6.4% 5.3% 3.4% 1.8%
Lucia Loosbrock 5.4% 4.9% 6.3% 5.5% 6.5% 9.4% 7.1% 8.0% 7.2% 8.6% 7.4% 8.2% 9.3% 6.2%
Pearl Lattanzi 4.7% 4.5% 5.1% 5.3% 5.4% 5.8% 5.4% 6.6% 7.7% 8.7% 8.9% 10.7% 10.7% 10.5%
Payton Canavan 5.8% 5.5% 7.4% 5.5% 5.8% 6.7% 6.8% 7.3% 6.5% 9.9% 9.3% 7.1% 9.7% 6.7%
Elizabeth Kaplan 18.4% 15.1% 14.8% 11.1% 11.9% 8.0% 6.9% 5.0% 3.8% 2.1% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Meredith Broadus 3.5% 2.7% 2.6% 4.7% 4.1% 4.8% 6.5% 6.0% 6.5% 9.1% 8.0% 9.7% 14.4% 17.4%
Emma Shakespeare 3.9% 4.0% 4.2% 4.8% 6.1% 6.3% 6.5% 7.7% 8.1% 7.7% 9.4% 9.0% 11.8% 10.5%
Audrey Commerford 2.5% 2.1% 2.9% 2.9% 4.7% 3.6% 4.4% 5.0% 6.3% 6.8% 9.9% 11.4% 12.4% 25.1%
Kiera Oreardon 5.3% 4.7% 5.4% 6.7% 5.3% 6.8% 8.1% 8.2% 8.9% 7.5% 8.2% 10.1% 7.7% 7.1%
Elizabeth Gildea 4.3% 5.2% 4.8% 6.1% 5.4% 6.4% 5.7% 8.2% 8.3% 7.2% 10.3% 10.3% 9.9% 7.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.