Race 13A

admiral-alymer

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Matthew Schon 13.7% 10.3% 12.1% 13.2% 12.7% 9.9% 9.9% 7.8% 6.3% 3.0% 1.1% 0.0%
Drew Shea 10.2% 9.3% 11.3% 10.7% 10.6% 10.5% 9.6% 10.1% 9.8% 6.5% 1.3% 0.1%
Christopher Price 10.0% 9.7% 8.7% 9.4% 9.7% 10.5% 10.2% 12.0% 10.3% 8.2% 1.3% 0.0%
Michael Sturges 6.4% 6.6% 9.0% 8.0% 8.8% 10.6% 11.4% 9.3% 12.6% 13.7% 3.5% 0.1%
Stephanie Hudson 14.9% 16.8% 14.0% 13.0% 9.6% 9.6% 8.1% 5.5% 4.5% 3.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Ian Towill 9.6% 11.3% 8.8% 11.7% 10.2% 9.7% 10.3% 11.0% 9.1% 6.8% 1.5% 0.0%
Tim Dexter 0.9% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 1.4% 1.9% 3.6% 33.7% 55.4%
Emily Billing 15.2% 12.9% 12.2% 11.0% 10.7% 9.7% 8.6% 8.7% 5.6% 4.2% 1.2% 0.0%
Lyle Fielding 6.1% 7.7% 8.7% 7.9% 9.9% 11.1% 10.2% 10.8% 11.7% 12.7% 2.9% 0.3%
James Altreuter 7.7% 8.8% 8.6% 8.9% 8.7% 8.6% 11.0% 11.4% 12.1% 11.4% 2.4% 0.4%
Sarah Fiske 5.0% 5.3% 5.7% 5.3% 8.0% 8.3% 9.1% 10.2% 13.9% 22.5% 6.2% 0.5%
Paul Hildebrand 0.3% 0.7% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.9% 1.0% 1.8% 2.2% 3.8% 44.5% 43.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.