Race 12B

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Brittany Shabino 12.1% 11.3% 11.0% 11.1% 10.2% 10.7% 9.9% 9.1% 6.2% 4.4% 2.5% 1.4% 0.1%
Seamus Hendrickson 18.4% 17.2% 14.6% 13.9% 11.3% 7.5% 6.1% 5.1% 2.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Cole Abbott 8.4% 7.7% 9.0% 8.2% 9.2% 8.9% 9.7% 9.7% 10.8% 8.9% 5.5% 3.3% 0.7%
Marissa Tegeder 11.5% 13.0% 11.1% 11.3% 10.7% 10.7% 9.8% 7.0% 6.4% 5.0% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
Fergus Munro 10.3% 10.8% 10.9% 11.0% 10.6% 10.1% 10.0% 9.0% 8.2% 4.2% 3.8% 1.1% 0.0%
Kate Hennig 8.9% 10.3% 11.8% 9.4% 9.8% 10.3% 8.3% 9.1% 8.3% 6.6% 4.9% 1.9% 0.4%
Nok In Chan 8.5% 9.0% 9.1% 9.9% 9.6% 10.1% 10.6% 10.2% 8.2% 8.0% 5.0% 1.8% 0.2%
Jacob Hsia 3.4% 3.7% 4.8% 5.0% 5.3% 5.6% 6.3% 9.0% 11.6% 12.2% 17.1% 12.2% 3.8%
Brady Boland 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 1.4% 1.5% 1.5% 2.6% 2.9% 3.8% 5.8% 9.4% 26.2% 42.5%
Gabriel "Gabe" Morreale 8.3% 6.4% 6.7% 7.4% 8.5% 10.5% 10.3% 10.4% 10.2% 9.3% 7.6% 3.4% 0.9%
Andrew Down 4.5% 4.8% 4.8% 5.1% 6.8% 7.0% 7.6% 7.9% 9.2% 13.7% 13.7% 10.9% 4.0%
Ella Sligh 4.2% 4.2% 4.4% 5.0% 5.2% 5.0% 6.9% 8.1% 10.0% 13.5% 17.3% 11.5% 4.8%
Leo Barch 0.9% 0.7% 1.1% 1.4% 1.5% 2.1% 1.8% 2.6% 4.2% 5.9% 9.8% 25.4% 42.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.