Race 11A

emily-wick

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Elizabeth Kaplan 19.0% 18.3% 14.3% 11.1% 10.1% 6.5% 6.0% 5.1% 3.4% 2.0% 1.9% 1.4% 0.8% 0.1%
J.J. Smith 9.1% 9.8% 9.8% 9.1% 7.6% 8.9% 8.8% 9.3% 7.2% 7.1% 5.2% 3.9% 2.8% 1.4%
Lucy Brock 7.8% 9.6% 9.6% 9.2% 7.5% 7.9% 9.7% 7.6% 7.9% 6.4% 6.5% 5.4% 3.6% 1.3%
Sofia Segalla 8.1% 9.9% 10.9% 8.8% 11.1% 9.3% 8.4% 7.4% 6.8% 5.4% 5.7% 4.0% 3.0% 1.2%
Charlotte Costikyan 6.0% 6.1% 7.7% 7.7% 8.0% 9.3% 7.3% 8.4% 7.6% 7.7% 8.4% 7.4% 4.7% 3.7%
Lucia Loosbrock 5.7% 4.8% 5.5% 5.8% 8.5% 7.2% 7.6% 7.6% 7.4% 10.1% 7.3% 7.5% 9.1% 5.9%
Pearl Lattanzi 4.6% 3.7% 6.0% 5.6% 5.6% 5.4% 5.6% 6.6% 8.1% 8.3% 8.9% 9.2% 11.6% 10.8%
Emily Bornarth 14.9% 13.9% 11.1% 12.5% 10.3% 9.6% 5.3% 6.5% 6.2% 3.8% 2.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.4%
Kiera Oreardon 5.8% 3.2% 5.6% 5.9% 5.9% 4.8% 8.9% 8.1% 8.5% 9.5% 8.6% 9.4% 8.9% 6.9%
Audrey Commerford 2.7% 2.1% 2.6% 2.0% 3.3% 5.6% 4.6% 5.2% 5.8% 6.5% 9.0% 11.0% 13.2% 26.4%
Emma Shakespeare 4.0% 4.4% 4.0% 5.2% 6.3% 5.3% 6.5% 7.8% 8.2% 8.4% 9.1% 9.8% 9.1% 11.9%
Elizabeth Gildea 4.2% 4.8% 3.3% 6.0% 5.1% 7.6% 7.8% 6.2% 8.4% 9.4% 8.6% 8.4% 9.8% 10.4%
Payton Canavan 4.9% 6.1% 6.1% 6.0% 6.0% 6.3% 8.3% 9.6% 6.6% 7.8% 8.7% 9.1% 9.2% 5.3%
Meredith Broadus 3.2% 3.3% 3.5% 5.1% 4.7% 6.3% 5.2% 4.6% 7.9% 7.6% 9.3% 11.7% 13.3% 14.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.