Race 12A

emily-wick

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Emma Shakespeare 3.7% 4.6% 5.6% 5.0% 7.2% 5.9% 6.7% 6.2% 7.7% 8.7% 9.8% 8.9% 10.4% 9.6%
Emily Bornarth 16.0% 13.9% 12.8% 11.9% 10.4% 8.6% 8.9% 4.6% 5.3% 2.6% 2.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.4%
Lucia Loosbrock 5.0% 6.5% 6.6% 7.3% 6.2% 5.7% 7.0% 9.3% 6.4% 9.2% 9.3% 8.7% 8.0% 4.8%
Audrey Commerford 2.5% 1.7% 3.8% 3.6% 3.9% 3.9% 4.5% 5.8% 5.5% 6.4% 8.3% 9.9% 15.6% 24.6%
Lucy Brock 7.5% 7.6% 9.8% 8.8% 9.8% 7.8% 7.8% 8.9% 7.1% 7.8% 7.1% 5.3% 2.8% 1.9%
Kiera Oreardon 4.7% 5.0% 5.0% 5.1% 5.8% 7.8% 6.9% 8.9% 7.8% 8.9% 8.1% 8.2% 9.1% 8.7%
Charlotte Costikyan 7.7% 9.6% 6.5% 8.3% 6.5% 8.8% 8.5% 8.2% 8.9% 7.2% 6.7% 5.4% 5.0% 2.7%
Elizabeth Kaplan 19.0% 19.3% 11.8% 11.4% 8.5% 8.4% 5.9% 5.1% 4.5% 3.2% 1.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Sofia Segalla 9.4% 7.8% 9.9% 9.8% 9.9% 9.6% 9.2% 7.1% 7.6% 7.2% 5.6% 3.3% 1.9% 1.7%
Pearl Lattanzi 3.5% 3.7% 4.2% 2.9% 5.4% 7.7% 6.3% 6.2% 8.3% 6.7% 9.8% 11.3% 10.9% 13.1%
J.J. Smith 8.5% 7.4% 9.1% 9.0% 9.0% 8.3% 8.8% 10.0% 6.3% 6.8% 5.3% 5.7% 3.5% 2.3%
Payton Canavan 4.7% 4.7% 5.3% 6.6% 6.8% 7.7% 7.9% 6.8% 9.3% 8.1% 7.3% 7.8% 9.2% 7.8%
Meredith Broadus 3.6% 3.9% 3.3% 4.9% 4.5% 3.7% 6.1% 6.2% 7.3% 7.6% 9.1% 11.0% 13.4% 15.4%
Elizabeth Gildea 4.2% 4.3% 6.3% 5.4% 6.1% 6.1% 5.5% 6.7% 8.0% 9.6% 9.9% 11.5% 9.4% 7.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.