Race 13A

emily-wick

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Sofia Segalla 9.1% 10.7% 10.8% 9.6% 9.9% 8.0% 8.3% 7.4% 6.6% 5.8% 5.5% 4.3% 2.6% 1.4%
Charlotte Costikyan 7.5% 8.4% 8.7% 6.3% 8.3% 7.1% 8.8% 8.5% 7.6% 9.5% 7.3% 4.5% 4.7% 2.8%
Elizabeth Kaplan 18.1% 17.3% 15.1% 11.8% 9.4% 8.9% 6.0% 5.4% 4.2% 2.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
Lucy Brock 7.6% 8.8% 9.9% 8.1% 8.6% 9.4% 8.4% 7.4% 8.9% 6.2% 6.7% 5.5% 2.9% 1.6%
Kiera Oreardon 4.4% 4.4% 5.3% 5.6% 7.7% 6.9% 6.5% 7.6% 6.6% 9.6% 7.6% 9.9% 10.0% 7.9%
Emma Shakespeare 4.2% 4.1% 3.9% 5.5% 4.8% 5.8% 6.8% 8.4% 7.7% 7.5% 10.3% 9.0% 10.0% 12.0%
Lucia Loosbrock 6.3% 6.6% 7.2% 6.4% 5.9% 8.4% 7.0% 8.2% 8.8% 8.0% 7.6% 8.5% 6.1% 5.0%
Pearl Lattanzi 4.8% 4.0% 4.3% 5.7% 4.6% 5.6% 5.7% 6.6% 7.7% 8.3% 9.0% 8.9% 11.6% 13.2%
J.J. Smith 8.7% 7.7% 7.2% 7.8% 10.6% 8.9% 8.3% 9.6% 7.9% 6.8% 5.8% 5.7% 3.4% 1.6%
Elizabeth Gildea 4.4% 3.5% 3.8% 5.8% 6.0% 6.6% 6.4% 7.4% 8.1% 8.0% 9.0% 10.5% 12.0% 8.5%
Audrey Commerford 2.1% 2.6% 3.0% 2.8% 3.9% 3.8% 5.3% 5.3% 5.5% 6.3% 8.6% 11.4% 15.8% 23.6%
Meredith Broadus 2.8% 3.9% 3.0% 3.4% 4.8% 5.4% 7.1% 5.2% 6.3% 8.9% 9.6% 11.5% 11.9% 16.2%
Emily Bornarth 14.9% 12.8% 12.1% 13.1% 9.9% 8.6% 8.0% 5.4% 5.2% 3.6% 3.5% 1.6% 0.8% 0.5%
Payton Canavan 5.1% 5.2% 5.7% 8.1% 5.6% 6.6% 7.4% 7.6% 8.9% 9.4% 8.7% 8.3% 7.9% 5.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.