Race 14A

emily-wick

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Emily Bornarth 14.4% 13.6% 14.1% 12.0% 9.6% 7.8% 6.6% 6.4% 5.4% 3.7% 2.6% 2.1% 1.5% 0.2%
J.J. Smith 9.4% 9.6% 9.1% 9.1% 8.2% 9.3% 8.3% 8.3% 7.6% 7.6% 5.7% 3.7% 2.4% 1.7%
Charlotte Costikyan 6.5% 7.7% 8.0% 8.1% 6.6% 8.3% 6.7% 10.0% 7.6% 7.2% 8.9% 6.4% 4.9% 3.1%
Emma Shakespeare 3.4% 4.4% 5.0% 5.9% 4.6% 7.2% 6.6% 6.3% 7.4% 8.1% 10.5% 9.2% 11.7% 9.7%
Pearl Lattanzi 2.9% 4.6% 4.5% 4.1% 5.6% 5.3% 6.9% 6.4% 7.6% 7.4% 9.2% 9.3% 13.0% 13.2%
Lucy Brock 8.5% 6.9% 8.5% 9.4% 10.5% 8.3% 7.4% 8.1% 8.0% 7.2% 5.2% 5.2% 4.5% 2.3%
Lucia Loosbrock 5.9% 7.3% 6.7% 7.0% 6.5% 7.1% 7.7% 8.7% 8.2% 8.6% 8.1% 6.6% 6.6% 5.0%
Elizabeth Gildea 5.3% 4.7% 4.8% 5.6% 6.6% 5.1% 6.8% 6.9% 6.3% 9.7% 7.7% 10.3% 9.2% 11.0%
Sofia Segalla 9.5% 8.3% 9.3% 9.1% 11.3% 9.9% 9.5% 6.3% 7.6% 6.5% 5.5% 4.4% 1.7% 1.1%
Payton Canavan 5.2% 5.0% 5.0% 5.3% 7.5% 6.6% 6.6% 8.0% 8.6% 8.5% 8.7% 9.9% 8.3% 6.8%
Elizabeth Kaplan 18.3% 16.1% 12.9% 12.5% 9.7% 8.5% 7.3% 5.1% 3.7% 2.8% 1.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Meredith Broadus 3.3% 3.1% 3.5% 3.3% 4.3% 5.3% 5.9% 6.1% 8.5% 7.5% 10.4% 11.4% 10.4% 17.0%
Kiera Oreardon 4.9% 6.0% 5.6% 5.4% 5.5% 6.4% 7.9% 8.3% 7.5% 10.0% 7.4% 8.6% 9.5% 7.0%
Audrey Commerford 2.5% 2.7% 3.0% 3.2% 3.5% 4.9% 5.8% 5.1% 6.0% 5.2% 8.4% 11.8% 16.0% 21.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.