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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+4.67vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.83+4.41vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.77+3.77vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.04+1.94vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.43-0.16vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.83+4.16vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.00+2.43vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.01+1.46vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.14+0.02vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61-2.50vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.88-4.42vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.61-0.98vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.91-6.37vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.30-5.55vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.08-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.41Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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6.77Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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5.94College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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4.84Cornell University2.430.2%1st Place
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10.16Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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9.43Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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9.46Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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9.02Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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7.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.1%1st Place
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6.58University of Pennsylvania1.880.1%1st Place
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11.02Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
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6.63University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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8.45Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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12.12University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Snead | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Emily Mueller | 8.7% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Sara Schumann | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Emma Tallman | 11.8% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Meredith Moran | 15.7% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Adeline Schoen | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 11.4% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 7.5% |
| Megan Geith | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 4.6% |
| Emily Scherer | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Madeleine Rice | 8.3% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 19.6% |
| Sydney Monahan | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 3.4% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 14.9% | 38.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.