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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61+6.32vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.30+6.31vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+2.63vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.43+0.80vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.83+1.80vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.04-0.09vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.77-0.17vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.01+1.51vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.88-2.59vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.61+0.84vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.14-1.97vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.00-2.27vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.91-6.33vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.08-1.83vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.83-4.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.1%1st Place
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8.31Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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5.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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4.8Cornell University2.430.2%1st Place
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6.8Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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5.91College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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6.83Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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9.51Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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6.41University of Pennsylvania1.880.1%1st Place
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10.84Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
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9.03Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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9.73Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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6.67University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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12.17University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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10.04Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Scherer | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.1% |
| Emma Snead | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Meredith Moran | 15.4% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Emma Tallman | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Sara Schumann | 9.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Megan Geith | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 8.1% |
| Madeleine Rice | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 17.8% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.9% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 9.1% |
| Sydney Monahan | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 16.4% | 36.2% |
| Adeline Schoen | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.