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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.77+5.84vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.43+2.73vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.83+3.61vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61+3.45vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+0.89vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.14+3.11vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.04-0.99vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.18-2.38vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.83+1.10vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.30-1.38vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.91-4.47vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.01-2.19vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.61-2.01vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.08-1.80vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.00-5.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.84Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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4.73Cornell University2.430.2%1st Place
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6.61Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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7.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.1%1st Place
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5.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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9.11Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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6.01College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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5.62University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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10.1Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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8.62Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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6.53University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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9.81Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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10.99Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
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12.2University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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9.48Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara Schumann | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Meredith Moran | 15.1% | 15.1% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Emily Scherer | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Emma Snead | 10.2% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 5.3% |
| Emma Tallman | 10.5% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Torrey Chisari | 11.8% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Adeline Schoen | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 11.5% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 3.8% |
| Sydney Monahan | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Megan Geith | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.6% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 17.0% | 19.2% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 15.8% | 37.6% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.