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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+4.74vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61+5.32vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.91+3.39vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.18+1.60vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.83+1.83vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.14+3.21vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.77-0.08vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.61+2.79vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.04-3.03vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.01-0.44vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.30-2.45vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.83-1.64vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.08-0.63vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.00-4.47vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.43-10.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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7.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.1%1st Place
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6.39University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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5.6University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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6.83Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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9.21Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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6.92Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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10.79Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
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5.97College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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9.56Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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8.55Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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10.36Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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12.37University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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9.53Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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4.85Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Snead | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Emily Scherer | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Sydney Monahan | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Torrey Chisari | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Emily Mueller | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 5.3% |
| Sara Schumann | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 17.2% | 16.7% |
| Emma Tallman | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Megan Geith | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 7.4% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 4.6% |
| Adeline Schoen | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 11.5% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 16.6% | 40.8% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% |
| Meredith Moran | 14.7% | 15.5% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.