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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+4.69vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.83+4.58vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.43+1.76vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.00+5.52vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.18+0.75vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.77+0.96vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61+0.42vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.04-2.01vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.08+3.30vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.01-0.37vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.83-0.86vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.91-5.33vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.14-3.65vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.61-3.29vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.30-6.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.58Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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4.76Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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9.52Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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5.75University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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6.96Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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7.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.1%1st Place
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5.99College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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12.3University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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9.63Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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10.14Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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6.67University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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9.35Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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10.71Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
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8.53Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Snead | 12.3% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Emily Mueller | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Meredith Moran | 14.8% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.6% |
| Torrey Chisari | 10.5% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Sara Schumann | 6.9% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Emily Scherer | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Emma Tallman | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 16.1% | 36.6% |
| Megan Geith | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 8.4% |
| Adeline Schoen | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 12.7% |
| Sydney Monahan | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 7.8% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 15.9% | 15.6% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.