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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.77+5.86vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61+5.30vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.83+3.66vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.01+5.50vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.91+1.56vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.18-0.43vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.04-1.03vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.83+2.17vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-3.26vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.61+0.88vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.43-6.02vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.14-2.67vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.30-4.21vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.08-1.79vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.00-5.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.86Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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7.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.1%1st Place
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6.66Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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9.5Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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6.56University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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5.57University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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5.97College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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10.17Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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5.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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10.88Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
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4.98Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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9.33Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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8.79Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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12.21University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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9.48Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara Schumann | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Emily Scherer | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Emily Mueller | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Megan Geith | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 8.2% |
| Sydney Monahan | 8.1% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Torrey Chisari | 12.1% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Emma Tallman | 11.8% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Adeline Schoen | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 11.5% |
| Emma Snead | 10.1% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 16.7% | 17.2% |
| Meredith Moran | 14.6% | 15.4% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 6.5% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 4.5% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 38.5% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.