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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.61+9.61vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.18+3.42vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.77+3.84vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.91+2.52vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.04+1.16vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.30+2.63vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.25+1.69vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.01+1.54vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.83-2.29vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.08+2.31vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-5.08vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.00-2.16vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61-5.22vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.83-3.84vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.43-10.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.61Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
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5.42University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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6.84Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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6.52University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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6.16College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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8.63Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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8.69Bowdoin College1.250.1%1st Place
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9.54Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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6.71Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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12.31University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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5.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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9.84Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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7.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.1%1st Place
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10.16Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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4.87Cornell University2.430.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Hanrahan | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 17.0% | 17.2% |
| Torrey Chisari | 12.2% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Sara Schumann | 6.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Sydney Monahan | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Emma Tallman | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 3.9% |
| Christine Reimer | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% |
| Megan Geith | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 7.7% |
| Emily Mueller | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 16.0% | 39.3% |
| Emma Snead | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 9.6% |
| Emily Scherer | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Adeline Schoen | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 15.2% | 11.5% |
| Meredith Moran | 15.8% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.