Race 10B

emily-wick

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Emily Mueller 8.6% 11.6% 10.2% 11.4% 8.3% 9.5% 6.9% 8.3% 6.4% 6.5% 5.4% 3.3% 2.7% 0.9%
Torrey Chisari 15.2% 12.8% 12.8% 11.9% 8.6% 9.4% 10.1% 6.4% 4.2% 3.3% 2.3% 1.7% 1.0% 0.3%
Megan Geith 5.0% 3.6% 5.6% 5.8% 5.0% 6.4% 4.8% 6.4% 8.6% 9.1% 10.5% 9.8% 13.1% 6.3%
Emma Tallman 10.4% 13.5% 10.6% 9.8% 11.4% 9.2% 6.9% 7.2% 7.4% 5.2% 3.7% 3.5% 0.8% 0.4%
Adeline Schoen 2.9% 3.2% 3.7% 4.5% 5.4% 5.4% 6.6% 5.9% 6.8% 9.1% 10.0% 12.1% 12.3% 12.1%
Haley Andreasen 5.4% 5.4% 5.5% 5.3% 8.2% 8.2% 6.8% 8.8% 8.5% 8.5% 8.9% 7.8% 8.1% 4.6%
Emma Snead 14.6% 13.0% 12.4% 10.9% 8.9% 8.4% 9.8% 7.2% 4.8% 3.5% 3.5% 2.2% 0.3% 0.5%
Emily Scherer 8.1% 9.2% 8.4% 6.7% 8.8% 8.1% 8.4% 7.8% 7.6% 8.4% 6.2% 5.3% 5.1% 1.9%
Sydney Monahan 10.2% 8.9% 9.9% 11.0% 9.5% 8.7% 9.9% 7.3% 6.9% 7.6% 4.5% 3.0% 1.8% 0.8%
Elizabeth Amelotte 2.0% 1.3% 2.0% 1.5% 2.1% 1.8% 3.3% 3.3% 5.3% 5.5% 8.0% 10.3% 14.2% 39.4%
Lucija Ruzevic 5.1% 5.8% 4.8% 6.4% 7.5% 7.1% 7.7% 7.4% 9.9% 9.4% 7.7% 9.2% 7.5% 4.5%
Christine Reimer 5.4% 4.9% 5.1% 5.7% 7.8% 5.9% 9.0% 10.1% 7.9% 9.7% 8.0% 6.8% 7.9% 5.8%
Molly Hanrahan 3.2% 2.8% 3.9% 3.3% 3.7% 4.6% 4.1% 5.4% 7.5% 7.8% 9.8% 12.4% 15.5% 16.0%
Caroline Sandoval 3.9% 4.0% 5.1% 5.8% 4.8% 7.3% 5.7% 8.5% 8.2% 6.4% 11.5% 12.6% 9.7% 6.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.