Race 11B

emily-wick

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Emma Snead 13.3% 13.1% 12.5% 11.2% 8.7% 9.6% 8.4% 6.2% 5.3% 3.4% 3.5% 2.9% 1.6% 0.3%
Sydney Monahan 11.8% 10.3% 11.2% 9.8% 10.4% 7.8% 9.2% 8.9% 6.4% 5.3% 4.2% 2.0% 2.1% 0.6%
Emily Mueller 9.1% 11.0% 9.9% 9.1% 9.8% 9.0% 8.1% 7.3% 7.7% 6.3% 5.8% 4.4% 1.8% 0.7%
Megan Geith 3.1% 3.8% 6.5% 5.3% 4.6% 7.0% 5.2% 7.2% 7.5% 11.6% 7.6% 11.6% 10.9% 8.1%
Haley Andreasen 4.9% 5.9% 5.6% 7.3% 7.6% 7.4% 7.2% 7.1% 8.2% 8.8% 9.7% 9.0% 7.3% 4.0%
Lucija Ruzevic 5.6% 4.5% 5.7% 5.9% 6.9% 6.3% 8.4% 9.0% 8.1% 9.9% 9.1% 7.6% 8.4% 4.6%
Emma Tallman 13.6% 13.3% 10.7% 11.0% 9.7% 8.2% 8.2% 8.2% 6.6% 4.6% 3.0% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4%
Torrey Chisari 13.7% 14.8% 11.1% 11.7% 9.5% 8.8% 7.1% 5.5% 5.6% 5.6% 3.8% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1%
Emily Scherer 7.8% 6.2% 8.4% 7.3% 9.8% 8.4% 10.2% 9.1% 7.4% 7.3% 7.4% 5.9% 2.9% 1.9%
Adeline Schoen 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.6% 5.5% 4.8% 6.3% 6.4% 7.7% 8.1% 10.7% 11.0% 13.8% 12.2%
Caroline Sandoval 4.0% 4.4% 4.6% 4.7% 5.2% 6.4% 6.3% 7.7% 8.1% 9.3% 8.9% 10.9% 10.9% 8.6%
Christine Reimer 4.8% 5.4% 4.9% 7.1% 6.5% 7.4% 7.7% 8.1% 10.6% 8.0% 8.2% 7.9% 7.2% 6.2%
Elizabeth Amelotte 2.1% 1.7% 2.2% 2.2% 1.9% 3.2% 2.4% 3.9% 5.3% 4.7% 8.1% 10.0% 14.6% 37.7%
Molly Hanrahan 2.9% 2.7% 3.0% 3.8% 3.9% 5.7% 5.3% 5.4% 5.5% 7.1% 10.0% 13.3% 16.8% 14.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.