Race 12B

emily-wick

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Megan Geith 4.5% 4.1% 5.0% 5.2% 6.0% 5.6% 6.9% 8.3% 6.8% 8.6% 10.7% 10.4% 9.4% 8.5%
Lucija Ruzevic 5.4% 7.7% 5.7% 6.5% 7.0% 7.1% 7.0% 6.6% 10.0% 9.8% 8.7% 8.2% 7.0% 3.3%
Adeline Schoen 3.9% 4.1% 4.4% 4.4% 5.3% 5.1% 5.2% 4.7% 7.0% 7.9% 11.1% 12.1% 13.5% 11.3%
Torrey Chisari 12.8% 14.6% 11.2% 10.3% 11.8% 10.0% 6.4% 7.0% 5.6% 4.5% 3.3% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
Emily Mueller 8.3% 9.4% 9.5% 11.7% 8.8% 8.4% 8.2% 8.0% 8.2% 6.5% 5.2% 4.2% 2.5% 1.1%
Haley Andreasen 5.6% 5.0% 4.9% 7.6% 6.8% 7.3% 8.2% 7.4% 8.6% 9.1% 6.8% 9.9% 7.7% 5.1%
Emma Tallman 14.2% 12.3% 12.9% 9.1% 9.1% 9.2% 7.8% 7.9% 6.2% 4.5% 3.0% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
Christine Reimer 6.4% 5.9% 5.7% 5.7% 6.8% 6.7% 7.8% 7.4% 8.0% 7.7% 8.6% 9.2% 8.8% 5.3%
Sydney Monahan 10.6% 8.3% 10.4% 9.2% 9.6% 9.9% 9.7% 8.6% 7.6% 5.8% 4.4% 3.4% 1.6% 0.9%
Emma Snead 11.1% 13.0% 12.7% 11.7% 8.6% 10.2% 8.8% 7.2% 5.0% 5.1% 3.1% 2.1% 0.9% 0.5%
Emily Scherer 8.5% 6.4% 7.5% 8.8% 9.0% 8.2% 9.2% 8.5% 7.6% 7.3% 6.1% 5.5% 5.2% 2.2%
Molly Hanrahan 2.7% 3.2% 2.9% 2.8% 3.4% 4.1% 5.0% 5.7% 7.2% 8.9% 10.7% 11.6% 15.1% 16.7%
Caroline Sandoval 4.5% 4.5% 5.2% 4.7% 5.3% 6.0% 6.3% 7.7% 7.5% 9.0% 10.4% 10.1% 11.4% 7.4%
Elizabeth Amelotte 1.5% 1.5% 2.0% 2.3% 2.5% 2.2% 3.5% 5.0% 4.7% 5.3% 7.9% 9.1% 15.3% 37.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.