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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+4.11vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.27+5.59vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.83+3.03vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.04+1.42vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61+1.85vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.18-0.93vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.91-1.50vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.30-0.34vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.61+1.02vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.25-2.00vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.83-1.67vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.08-0.71vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.00-4.38vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.01-5.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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7.59Cornell University1.270.1%1st Place
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6.03Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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5.42College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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6.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.1%1st Place
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5.07University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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5.5University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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7.66Tufts University1.300.1%1st Place
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10.02Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
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8.0Bowdoin College1.250.1%1st Place
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9.33Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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11.29University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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8.62Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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8.52Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Snead | 14.3% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Lucija Ruzevic | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% |
| Emily Mueller | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Emma Tallman | 11.0% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Emily Scherer | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 13.4% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Monahan | 12.1% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Haley Andreasen | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.0% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 16.9% | 17.3% |
| Christine Reimer | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 5.0% |
| Adeline Schoen | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 12.5% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 16.4% | 36.9% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 8.4% |
| Megan Geith | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.