← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University1.83+4.95vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston2.04+3.17vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+2.14vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.30+3.75vs Predicted
-
5University of Pennsylvania2.18+0.11vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida1.91-0.09vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University1.27+0.60vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont0.08+3.15vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University0.83+0.33vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University1.01-1.23vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College1.25-3.00vs Predicted
-
12Fordham University1.00-3.30vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61-6.34vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University0.61-4.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.95Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
-
5.17College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
-
5.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
-
7.75Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
-
5.11University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
-
5.91University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
-
7.6Cornell University1.270.1%1st Place
-
11.15University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
-
9.33Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
-
8.77Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
-
8.0Bowdoin College1.250.1%1st Place
-
8.7Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
-
6.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.1%1st Place
-
9.76Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Mueller | 9.6% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Emma Tallman | 14.4% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Emma Snead | 13.0% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 3.4% |
| Torrey Chisari | 11.6% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Sydney Monahan | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Lucija Ruzevic | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.0% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 15.9% | 38.4% |
| Adeline Schoen | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 11.4% |
| Megan Geith | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 6.7% |
| Christine Reimer | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 8.7% |
| Emily Scherer | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.