Race 15B

emily-wick

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Lucija Ruzevic 5.3% 5.3% 6.7% 7.2% 8.0% 6.3% 9.2% 7.4% 7.2% 9.0% 8.5% 7.9% 7.5% 4.5%
Emma Snead 13.6% 13.0% 12.6% 10.6% 10.1% 9.4% 8.7% 7.5% 4.2% 4.3% 2.8% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
Sydney Monahan 11.0% 11.2% 9.4% 10.0% 8.5% 8.3% 9.0% 9.4% 7.4% 5.6% 3.5% 4.7% 1.4% 0.6%
Emily Mueller 8.9% 10.9% 8.9% 9.3% 9.6% 9.1% 7.9% 8.8% 7.7% 6.6% 4.2% 3.7% 3.4% 1.0%
Megan Geith 3.5% 3.5% 4.6% 6.2% 6.0% 6.8% 6.3% 5.7% 7.7% 8.6% 11.0% 9.1% 12.1% 8.9%
Torrey Chisari 13.1% 12.9% 12.5% 11.3% 10.1% 9.5% 6.6% 7.4% 4.8% 5.4% 3.6% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1%
Caroline Sandoval 4.8% 4.9% 6.8% 4.2% 5.4% 5.8% 6.4% 6.3% 8.8% 9.5% 9.7% 9.7% 10.8% 6.9%
Emma Tallman 12.8% 12.3% 9.9% 11.0% 9.9% 9.0% 7.2% 7.1% 6.6% 5.3% 4.2% 3.2% 1.3% 0.2%
Christine Reimer 5.8% 4.3% 5.7% 6.0% 5.1% 7.8% 7.0% 9.4% 9.8% 7.3% 9.8% 10.0% 7.4% 4.6%
Emily Scherer 7.6% 7.2% 7.0% 9.7% 9.6% 7.3% 9.1% 7.0% 8.4% 8.7% 6.0% 6.0% 4.3% 2.1%
Adeline Schoen 3.3% 4.0% 3.1% 3.5% 5.2% 5.2% 6.6% 5.8% 8.2% 8.0% 7.7% 14.2% 14.0% 11.2%
Molly Hanrahan 3.0% 2.0% 3.3% 3.4% 3.5% 5.0% 5.3% 6.0% 5.3% 8.4% 11.8% 10.5% 13.9% 18.6%
Elizabeth Amelotte 2.0% 1.7% 2.0% 2.0% 2.4% 2.9% 3.2% 3.1% 5.3% 4.4% 7.8% 9.5% 16.1% 37.6%
Haley Andreasen 5.3% 6.8% 7.5% 5.6% 6.6% 7.6% 7.5% 9.1% 8.6% 8.9% 9.4% 7.6% 6.1% 3.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.