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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University0.27+0.77vs Predicted
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2Rutgers University-1.50+1.66vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-1.26+0.55vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-0.93-0.69vs Predicted
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5Washington College-0.55-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.77Princeton University0.2750.9%1st Place
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3.66Rutgers University-1.508.6%1st Place
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3.55University of Delaware-1.2610.0%1st Place
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3.31Drexel University-0.9311.9%1st Place
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2.72Washington College-0.5518.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper Waldman | 50.9% | 29.0% | 13.4% | 5.8% | 0.9% |
| Marlon Wool | 8.6% | 12.3% | 18.4% | 26.5% | 34.2% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 10.0% | 14.0% | 18.2% | 26.8% | 31.1% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 11.9% | 16.9% | 23.4% | 24.1% | 23.6% |
| Austin Latimer | 18.6% | 27.8% | 26.6% | 16.9% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.