Race 3B

admiral-alymer

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Marlena Fauer 20.3% 19.1% 17.2% 12.4% 12.3% 7.6% 4.6% 3.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Jessica Claflin 9.7% 10.9% 11.6% 12.2% 13.0% 9.9% 10.5% 11.9% 6.3% 3.0% 1.0% 0.0%
Timothy Scanlon 10.4% 8.0% 9.6% 10.0% 9.1% 11.8% 12.5% 12.2% 9.9% 5.0% 1.5% 0.0%
Ryan Mullins 16.4% 18.0% 14.2% 14.2% 12.1% 9.4% 6.4% 5.1% 3.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
T. Max Bulger 8.7% 8.1% 8.9% 9.7% 10.2% 13.4% 10.7% 11.6% 10.3% 6.2% 2.0% 0.2%
John Duncan 4.0% 3.9% 5.3% 5.8% 5.9% 7.1% 10.7% 12.3% 18.5% 17.6% 7.8% 1.1%
Robert Lippincott 6.9% 8.9% 6.4% 8.6% 10.3% 10.5% 12.1% 12.4% 11.5% 9.0% 3.0% 0.4%
Trevor Burd 14.2% 11.8% 12.3% 10.6% 11.8% 11.6% 9.8% 8.8% 5.9% 2.3% 0.9% 0.0%
Tom Peabody 6.6% 8.7% 11.1% 12.1% 9.8% 10.6% 14.1% 11.1% 9.2% 5.6% 1.0% 0.1%
Andrew Smith 0.5% 0.4% 0.9% 1.8% 2.0% 1.9% 1.6% 3.0% 5.4% 15.7% 36.4% 30.4%
Zachary O'Brien 2.0% 1.5% 2.2% 2.1% 3.1% 4.9% 5.9% 6.1% 14.3% 27.1% 23.2% 7.6%
Alan Sutton 0.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 1.3% 1.1% 1.7% 3.4% 7.0% 23.1% 60.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.