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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University0.37+0.96vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.05+0.24vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University-1.75+1.18vs Predicted
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4Miami University-2.42+0.92vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-2.27-0.14vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-0.50-3.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.96Indiana University0.370.4%1st Place
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2.24University of Michigan0.050.3%1st Place
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4.18Grand Valley State University-1.750.1%1st Place
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4.92Miami University-2.420.0%1st Place
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4.86University of Notre Dame-2.270.0%1st Place
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2.85Purdue University-0.500.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Hultquist | 41.0% | 32.0% | 19.3% | 5.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Stephens | 32.6% | 28.5% | 24.9% | 11.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Carly Irwin | 6.0% | 7.2% | 12.5% | 27.5% | 31.0% | 15.8% |
| Griffin Boothby | 2.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 16.0% | 28.8% | 42.5% |
| Charlie Lemkuil | 1.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 17.6% | 28.9% | 39.7% |
| Nok In Chan | 16.7% | 22.5% | 30.3% | 21.6% | 7.9% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.