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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University0.37+0.95vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.05+0.21vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-0.50-0.19vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-1.75+0.22vs Predicted
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5Miami University-2.42-0.02vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-2.27-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.95Indiana University0.370.4%1st Place
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2.21University of Michigan0.050.3%1st Place
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2.81Purdue University-0.500.2%1st Place
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4.22Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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4.98Miami University-2.420.0%1st Place
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4.82University of Notre Dame-2.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Hultquist | 40.6% | 34.3% | 17.3% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Stephens | 34.1% | 27.7% | 24.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Nok In Chan | 17.4% | 21.9% | 32.1% | 20.7% | 6.7% | 1.2% |
| Carly Irwin | 4.5% | 7.6% | 12.5% | 29.4% | 28.5% | 17.5% |
| Griffin Boothby | 1.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 14.2% | 30.1% | 43.7% |
| Charlie Lemkuil | 1.9% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 19.5% | 30.0% | 36.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.