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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.63+0.68vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland1.00+0.17vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.18+0.02vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.18-0.98vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.73-2.08vs Predicted
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7American University-1.07-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.68Christopher Newport University1.630.5%1st Place
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2.17University of Maryland1.000.3%1st Place
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3.02Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
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3.02Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
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3.92William and Mary-0.730.0%1st Place
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4.21American University-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Fox | 52.6% | 30.4% | 13.2% | 3.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Bisson | 28.6% | 37.0% | 24.0% | 9.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 12.3% | 18.4% | 33.6% | 26.5% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 12.3% | 18.4% | 33.6% | 26.5% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| Parker Bunting | 3.7% | 7.3% | 18.7% | 34.2% | 36.1% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 2.8% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 26.6% | 53.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.