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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.63+0.27vs Predicted
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2American University-1.07+1.23vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.26-1.43vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.26-3.43vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.73-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.27Christopher Newport University1.630.8%1st Place
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3.23American University-1.070.0%1st Place
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2.57Virginia Tech-0.260.1%1st Place
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2.57Virginia Tech-0.260.1%1st Place
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2.93William and Mary-0.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Fox | 76.9% | 19.6% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 4.9% | 17.2% | 27.9% | 50.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 11.7% | 38.0% | 32.3% | 18.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 11.7% | 38.0% | 32.3% | 18.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Bunting | 6.5% | 25.2% | 37.0% | 31.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.