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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University-0.14+1.17vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-1.29+1.37vs Predicted
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3American University-0.06-0.92vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-1.29-1.63vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-2.64-1.47vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.78-4.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17Christopher Newport University-0.140.3%1st Place
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3.37Virginia Tech-1.290.1%1st Place
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2.08American University-0.060.4%1st Place
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3.37Virginia Tech-1.290.1%1st Place
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4.53William and Mary-2.640.0%1st Place
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2.85Princeton University-0.780.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gail Schneider | 34.8% | 29.8% | 21.0% | 11.9% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 9.0% | 13.7% | 23.6% | 38.8% | 14.9% | 0.0% |
| Karl Wagerson | 36.5% | 31.6% | 21.3% | 9.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 9.0% | 13.7% | 23.6% | 38.8% | 14.9% | 0.0% |
| Levi Nathans | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 15.3% | 73.1% | 0.0% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 17.5% | 21.0% | 28.6% | 24.9% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.