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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1American University-0.06+1.26vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-1.29+1.66vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University-0.14-0.67vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.78-0.96vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-1.34-2.29vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-1.29-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26American University-0.060.3%1st Place
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3.66Virginia Tech-1.290.1%1st Place
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2.33Christopher Newport University-0.140.3%1st Place
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3.04Princeton University-0.780.1%1st Place
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3.71William and Mary-1.340.1%1st Place
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3.66Virginia Tech-1.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Wagerson | 35.0% | 27.8% | 19.6% | 11.6% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 8.2% | 11.9% | 19.4% | 26.3% | 34.2% | 0.0% |
| Gail Schneider | 32.7% | 26.4% | 22.0% | 13.4% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 14.9% | 22.6% | 22.1% | 24.3% | 16.1% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Craig | 9.2% | 11.3% | 16.9% | 24.4% | 38.2% | 0.0% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 8.2% | 11.9% | 19.4% | 26.3% | 34.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.