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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-1.29+2.66vs Predicted
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2American University-0.06+0.23vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University-0.14-0.67vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-1.29-1.34vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-1.34-2.31vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.78-3.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66Virginia Tech-1.290.1%1st Place
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2.23American University-0.060.3%1st Place
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2.33Christopher Newport University-0.140.3%1st Place
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3.66Virginia Tech-1.290.1%1st Place
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3.69William and Mary-1.340.1%1st Place
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3.09Princeton University-0.780.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Deslauriers | 10.1% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 25.5% | 36.2% | 0.0% |
| Karl Wagerson | 34.1% | 28.2% | 22.2% | 11.3% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Gail Schneider | 31.5% | 28.7% | 19.9% | 14.8% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 10.1% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 25.5% | 36.2% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Craig | 8.1% | 12.4% | 17.8% | 25.5% | 36.2% | 0.0% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 16.2% | 18.5% | 24.1% | 22.9% | 18.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.