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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-1.29+2.37vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.78+0.85vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University-0.14-0.86vs Predicted
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4American University-0.06-1.89vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-1.29-2.63vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-2.64-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37Virginia Tech-1.290.1%1st Place
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2.85Princeton University-0.780.2%1st Place
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2.14Christopher Newport University-0.140.4%1st Place
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2.11American University-0.060.4%1st Place
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3.37Virginia Tech-1.290.1%1st Place
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4.54William and Mary-2.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Deslauriers | 10.4% | 14.4% | 20.0% | 38.7% | 16.5% | 0.0% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 15.8% | 21.8% | 30.4% | 25.6% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Gail Schneider | 35.5% | 29.5% | 22.3% | 11.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Karl Wagerson | 36.4% | 30.8% | 20.5% | 10.3% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 10.4% | 14.4% | 20.0% | 38.7% | 16.5% | 0.0% |
| Levi Nathans | 1.9% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 14.3% | 73.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.