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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-1.29+2.37vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University-0.14+0.17vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.78-0.18vs Predicted
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4American University-0.06-1.89vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-1.29-1.63vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-2.64-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37Virginia Tech-1.290.1%1st Place
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2.17Christopher Newport University-0.140.3%1st Place
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2.82Princeton University-0.780.2%1st Place
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2.11American University-0.060.4%1st Place
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3.37Virginia Tech-1.290.1%1st Place
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4.53William and Mary-2.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Deslauriers | 10.5% | 13.3% | 21.7% | 37.3% | 17.2% | 0.0% |
| Gail Schneider | 33.4% | 31.2% | 22.1% | 11.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 17.7% | 21.2% | 28.0% | 27.2% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Karl Wagerson | 36.3% | 30.4% | 21.8% | 9.4% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 10.5% | 13.3% | 21.7% | 37.3% | 17.2% | 0.0% |
| Levi Nathans | 2.1% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 14.4% | 73.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.