Race 5B

admiral-alymer

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Timothy Scanlon 7.9% 8.9% 8.1% 11.0% 10.1% 12.1% 13.7% 11.9% 8.7% 5.6% 1.9% 0.1%
Robert Lippincott 5.3% 7.8% 7.9% 8.0% 7.8% 11.6% 11.5% 13.6% 14.7% 8.7% 2.8% 0.3%
T. Max Bulger 9.4% 8.0% 8.9% 9.2% 9.4% 12.2% 12.9% 12.2% 10.2% 6.0% 1.4% 0.2%
Marlena Fauer 20.9% 21.3% 14.9% 13.6% 11.2% 7.5% 5.2% 3.2% 1.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Trevor Burd 11.1% 12.7% 13.0% 12.2% 12.6% 10.3% 9.0% 8.2% 6.4% 3.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Ryan Mullins 19.3% 14.0% 16.4% 13.8% 11.4% 10.9% 5.9% 4.8% 2.5% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jessica Claflin 11.4% 11.4% 11.0% 11.2% 12.8% 10.5% 12.6% 8.2% 6.7% 3.8% 0.4% 0.0%
John Duncan 4.3% 4.9% 4.2% 6.3% 7.4% 7.5% 9.0% 11.3% 19.4% 17.1% 7.7% 0.9%
Tom Peabody 7.4% 6.8% 11.6% 11.1% 12.3% 10.1% 12.6% 12.3% 9.5% 4.9% 1.4% 0.0%
Zachary O'Brien 1.7% 2.8% 3.0% 2.5% 2.7% 5.1% 5.0% 9.1% 13.5% 27.7% 21.0% 5.9%
Andrew Smith 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 1.0% 1.2% 1.3% 1.7% 2.9% 4.9% 13.5% 38.5% 32.7%
Alan Sutton 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.1% 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 2.3% 2.2% 7.0% 24.2% 59.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.