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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-1.29+2.62vs Predicted
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2American University-0.06+0.19vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University-0.14-0.78vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.78-1.00vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-1.29-1.38vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-2.31-1.18vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-2.64-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62Virginia Tech-1.290.1%1st Place
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2.19American University-0.060.4%1st Place
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2.22Christopher Newport University-0.140.3%1st Place
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3.0Princeton University-0.780.2%1st Place
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3.62Virginia Tech-1.290.1%1st Place
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4.82University of Maryland-2.310.0%1st Place
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5.15William and Mary-2.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Deslauriers | 10.2% | 12.1% | 19.4% | 29.5% | 21.1% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Karl Wagerson | 35.2% | 29.8% | 20.2% | 10.7% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Gail Schneider | 33.3% | 30.2% | 21.8% | 11.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 16.5% | 19.5% | 27.4% | 23.1% | 11.0% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 10.2% | 12.1% | 19.4% | 29.5% | 21.1% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Emma Retzlaff | 3.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 14.3% | 34.7% | 36.6% | 0.0% |
| Levi Nathans | 1.8% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 10.9% | 26.9% | 52.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.