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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1American University-0.06+1.21vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University-0.14+0.27vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-1.29+0.57vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-1.29-0.43vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.78-2.02vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-2.33-1.16vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-2.64-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21American University-0.060.3%1st Place
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2.27Christopher Newport University-0.140.3%1st Place
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3.57Virginia Tech-1.290.1%1st Place
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3.57Virginia Tech-1.290.1%1st Place
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2.98Princeton University-0.780.2%1st Place
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4.84University of Maryland-2.330.0%1st Place
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5.13William and Mary-2.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Wagerson | 33.6% | 31.3% | 21.0% | 9.9% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Gail Schneider | 34.2% | 27.3% | 21.8% | 11.9% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 10.6% | 13.5% | 17.8% | 31.1% | 20.5% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 10.6% | 13.5% | 17.8% | 31.1% | 20.5% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 16.6% | 19.5% | 28.3% | 22.8% | 10.2% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Butz | 2.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 13.2% | 34.2% | 37.7% | 0.0% |
| Levi Nathans | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 11.1% | 27.7% | 51.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.