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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.24+1.37vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan2.03+0.69vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.35+2.36vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame1.04+0.22vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois1.49-1.45vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.63+0.69vs Predicted
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7University of Saint Thomas0.60-1.98vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota-0.16-1.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37University of Wisconsin2.240.3%1st Place
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2.69University of Michigan2.030.3%1st Place
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5.36Northwestern University0.350.0%1st Place
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4.22University of Notre Dame1.040.1%1st Place
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3.55University of Illinois1.490.1%1st Place
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6.69Marquette University-0.630.0%1st Place
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5.02University of Saint Thomas0.600.1%1st Place
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6.1University of Minnesota-0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Bartel | 34.6% | 26.5% | 19.0% | 11.2% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jenna Probst | 26.4% | 25.8% | 19.5% | 15.1% | 8.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 4.4% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 19.5% | 21.7% | 13.5% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 9.1% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 18.6% | 19.9% | 15.5% | 7.7% | 3.3% |
| Tarkan Bolat | 14.9% | 15.3% | 21.6% | 17.3% | 16.2% | 9.6% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Jenna Kozal | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 13.1% | 21.1% | 46.6% |
| Rachel Bartel | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 18.5% | 18.7% | 15.3% | 10.8% |
| Clara Brown | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 18.1% | 28.2% | 24.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.